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Red89
1065224.2
1066815.2
309828.8
Blue99
45312.7
612036.3
1060629.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68850501001508999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+16Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
15Coral scored#11
53Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
71Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#5
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
89Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3098
#11
28.81.2
22.023.2
Auto4.6
Teleop23.8
End0.5
blue by 7.4
6120
#17
36.30.7
31.832.5
Auto8.6
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Second
24.21.2
24.025.2
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End2.6
blue by 4.9
29.10.7
29.430.1
Auto5.8
Teleop14.3
End9.0
Third
15.21.2
13.714.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End2.2
red by 2.5
453
#24
12.70.7
10.110.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned