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Red108
21746.9
522515.4
330219.7
Blue110
955842.1
975726.6
952816.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9487050150200108110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+6Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points15
9Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +15
15Coral scored#14
55Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
12Processor points12
16Net points4
28Algae points16
83Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#6
6L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +14
4Cage & park18
4Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
12Foul points6
108Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#8
46.90.4
45.345.7
Auto8.5
Teleop33.9
End4.5
red by 4.8
42.11.2
32.433.6
Auto9.6
Teleop25.3
End7.3
Second
3302
#14
19.70.4
18.418.8
Auto2.4
Teleop15.7
End1.5
blue by 7.0
26.61.2
23.124.3
Auto4.4
Teleop18.1
End4.1
Third
5225
#29
15.40.4
13.413.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End3.0
blue by 1.0
9528
#28
16.41.2
15.016.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned