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Red81
811517.2
477944.3
718833.1
Blue104
776215.9
353960.4
586023.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10410170809011012013014081104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+23
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
19Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +9
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points41
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#4
0Processor points0
8Net points16
8Algae points16
48Total teleop57
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#2
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
81Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.31.3
38.637.3
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End7.0
blue by 16.1
60.40.2
59.059.2
Auto20.4
Teleop32.6
End7.3
Second
7188
#30
33.11.3
34.032.7
Auto4.8
Teleop28.1
End0.3
red by 9.4
5860
#25
23.70.2
21.021.2
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
8115
#36
17.21.3
19.318.0
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End3.5
red by 1.3
7762
#32
15.90.2
14.915.1
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned