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Red115
353960.4
781312.0
718833.1
Blue81
612036.3
609920.2
505339.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11395608012014016018011581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+32Teleop
+36Endgame
+34Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +32
15Coral scored#7
55Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
0Processor points6
16Net points8
16Algae points14
71Total teleop39
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
12Foul points14
115Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.2
59.259.0
Auto20.4
Teleop32.6
End7.3
red by 20.5
5053
#26
39.91.7
35.233.5
Auto5.0
Teleop31.0
End3.9
Second
7188
#30
33.10.2
32.732.4
Auto4.8
Teleop28.1
End0.3
blue by 3.1
6120
#17
36.31.7
32.530.8
Auto8.6
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Third
7813
#21
12.00.2
11.811.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.5
blue by 8.1
6099
#34
20.21.7
22.320.6
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned