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Red41
811517.2
81845.0
26046.9
Blue96
477944.3
481033.6
45312.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72874060801001201404196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+51
Endgame+61
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +37
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
20Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
6Foul points0
41Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#10
45.02.3
35.933.6
Auto6.3
Teleop37.5
End1.2
red by 0.7
44.31.1
37.338.4
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End7.0
Second
8115
#36
17.22.3
18.015.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End3.5
blue by 16.4
33.61.1
25.326.4
Auto6.5
Teleop25.9
End1.2
Third
2604
#39
6.92.3
10.58.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End-0.5
blue by 5.8
453
#24
12.71.1
10.811.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned