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Qual 352025 FIM District Macomb Event presented by DTE
Red86
718833.1
413028.4
836413.8
Blue109
546712.3
45312.7
353960.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions889640608012014086109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+11
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
18Coral scored#11
63Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
73Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#5
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
86Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7188
#30
33.10.7
32.4→33.1
Auto4.8
Teleop28.1
End0.3
blue by 27.3
3539
#1
60.41.7
59.0→60.7
Auto20.4
Teleop32.6
End7.3
Second
4130
#18
28.40.7
29.6→30.3
Auto4.9
Teleop22.8
End0.7
red by 15.7
453
#24
12.71.7
11.9→13.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Third
8364
#37
13.80.7
13.8→14.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End1.4
red by 1.5
5467
#35
12.31.7
12.1→13.9
Auto2.0
Teleop7.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned