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Red107
31417.9
171844.2
612036.3
Blue80
505339.9
523927.5
811517.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions987820406012014010780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+19Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
63Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
107Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.9
40.040.9
Auto7.4
Teleop28.2
End8.6
red by 4.3
5053
#26
39.90.0
33.533.5
Auto5.0
Teleop31.0
End3.9
Second
6120
#17
36.30.9
30.831.7
Auto8.6
Teleop20.5
End7.1
red by 8.7
27.50.0
25.525.5
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End6.9
Third
314
#22
17.90.9
16.917.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End1.6
red by 0.7
8115
#36
17.20.0
15.615.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsMissed