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Red74
612036.3
811517.2
546712.3
Blue76
477944.3
1066525.9
522515.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6282020401001201407476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
49Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points2
74Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6120
#17
36.30.9
31.732.5
Auto8.6
Teleop20.5
End7.1
blue by 8.1
44.30.0
39.239.2
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End7.0
Second
8115
#36
17.20.9
15.716.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End3.5
blue by 8.7
25.90.0
21.821.8
Auto4.6
Teleop19.2
End2.1
Third
5467
#35
12.30.9
13.914.7
Auto2.0
Teleop7.8
End2.5
blue by 3.0
5225
#29
15.40.0
13.113.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned