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Red33
952816.4
45312.7
836413.8
Blue91
967917.6
718833.1
171844.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381080501503391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+58
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +41
4Coral scored#13
16Coral points45
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
0Processor points12
4Net points4
4Algae points16
20Total teleop61
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#4
0L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
33Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9528
#28
16.40.9
15.614.7
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End1.6
blue by 27.8
44.20.2
40.940.7
Auto7.4
Teleop28.2
End8.6
Second
8364
#37
13.80.9
14.513.6
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End1.4
blue by 19.3
7188
#30
33.10.2
33.132.9
Auto4.8
Teleop28.1
End0.3
Third
453
#24
12.70.9
13.612.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End1.7
blue by 4.9
9679
#15
17.60.2
17.417.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsMissed