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Red99
118950.5
521418.3
776215.9
Blue69
1060629.1
592623.0
781312.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94600501509969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
22Coral points12
25Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +13
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
50Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
8Foul points4
99Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.1
48.148.2
Auto9.9
Teleop32.0
End8.6
red by 21.4
29.10.3
30.530.2
Auto5.8
Teleop14.3
End9.0
Second
5214
#31
18.30.1
19.019.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End2.5
blue by 4.7
5926
#23
23.00.3
15.815.5
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End4.4
Third
7762
#32
15.90.1
13.914.0
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End2.1
red by 3.9
7813
#21
12.00.3
11.611.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned