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Qual 382025 FIM District Macomb Event presented by DTE
Red33
26046.9
586023.7
1065224.2
Blue120
1066815.2
81845.0
481033.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53860204010012014016033120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+79
Endgame+81
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +75
4Coral scored#17
15Coral points62
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
0Processor points12
4Net points20
4Algae points32
19Total teleop94
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#8
0L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
7Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
0Foul points6
33Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10652
#13
24.21.3
24.7→23.4
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End2.6
blue by 20.9
818
#10
45.02.7
33.6→36.3
Auto6.3
Teleop37.5
End1.2
Second
5860
#25
23.71.3
20.1→18.8
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 9.9
4810
#4
33.62.7
26.4→29.1
Auto6.5
Teleop25.9
End1.2
Third
2604
#39
6.91.3
8.2→6.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End-0.5
blue by 8.2
10668
#20
15.22.7
13.7→16.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed