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Red47
609920.2
521418.3
1066815.2
Blue125
505339.9
974722.1
81845.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56101015047125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+80
Endgame+78
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +73
7Coral scored#21
26Coral points77
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
6Processor points12
0Net points16
6Algae points28
32Total teleop105
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#9
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#5
10Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points0
47Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6099
#34
20.20.7
21.520.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8
blue by 24.9
818
#10
45.02.6
36.338.8
Auto6.3
Teleop37.5
End1.2
Second
5214
#31
18.30.7
19.018.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End2.5
blue by 21.6
5053
#26
39.92.6
33.536.0
Auto5.0
Teleop31.0
End3.9
Third
15.20.7
16.415.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End2.2
blue by 7.0
9747
#12
22.12.6
16.919.4
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed