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Red80
586023.7
921212.9
118950.5
Blue75
592623.0
975726.6
523927.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837002040601001201401608075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+9Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +19
9Coral scored#6
33Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
55Total teleop36
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +4
16Cage & park20
16Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
80Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.3
48.248.5
Auto9.9
Teleop32.0
End8.6
red by 22.9
27.50.7
25.526.2
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End6.9
Second
5860
#25
23.70.3
18.819.1
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 2.9
26.60.7
23.824.5
Auto4.4
Teleop18.1
End4.1
Third
9212
#38
12.90.3
7.98.3
Auto1.8
Teleop9.9
End1.3
blue by 10.1
5926
#23
23.00.7
15.516.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned