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Red54
506515.3
718833.1
546712.3
Blue57
776215.9
781312.0
1065224.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72520204060801001205457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points18
9Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +2
7Coral scored#5
25Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
31Total teleop33
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
8Foul points0
54Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7188
#30
33.11.3
32.931.6
Auto4.8
Teleop28.1
End0.3
red by 8.9
24.20.5
23.624.2
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End2.6
Second
5065
#33
15.31.3
17.416.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End1.3
blue by 0.6
7762
#32
15.90.5
14.014.5
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End2.1
Third
5467
#35
12.31.3
14.713.4
Auto2.0
Teleop7.8
End2.5
red by 0.3
7813
#21
12.00.5
11.311.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed