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Red103
974722.1
353960.4
31417.9
Blue93
413028.4
81845.0
1066525.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11299608012014016018010393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+2
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
12Coral scored#13
44Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
66Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
103Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.3
61.762.0
Auto20.4
Teleop32.6
End7.3
red by 15.4
818
#10
45.00.1
38.838.9
Auto6.3
Teleop37.5
End1.2
Second
9747
#12
22.10.3
19.419.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End3.8
blue by 6.3
4130
#18
28.40.1
31.331.3
Auto4.9
Teleop22.8
End0.7
Third
314
#22
17.90.3
18.018.2
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End1.6
blue by 8.0
25.90.1
21.821.9
Auto4.6
Teleop19.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed