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Red105
592623.0
952816.4
505339.9
Blue125
975726.6
477944.3
521418.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions719520406080120140105125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
Endgame+14
Fouls+20
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
16Total auto16
Teleoperatedlevel
18Coral scored#16
65Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
83Total teleop83
Reef
8L4#6
8L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
6Cage & park20
6Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points6
105Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5053
#26
39.92.1
36.038.2
Auto5.0
Teleop31.0
End3.9
blue by 4.4
44.31.7
39.240.9
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End7.0
Second
5926
#23
23.02.1
16.218.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End4.4
blue by 3.6
26.61.7
24.526.1
Auto4.4
Teleop18.1
End4.1
Third
9528
#28
16.42.1
14.716.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End1.6
blue by 1.9
5214
#31
18.31.7
18.420.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned