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Red97
889918.0
967917.6
118950.5
Blue46
26046.9
1066815.2
921212.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100300204060801201401609746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+35Teleop
+45Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +28
9Coral scored#5
32Coral points18
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
56Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
6Foul points0
97Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.6
48.549.1
Auto9.9
Teleop32.0
End8.6
red by 35.3
15.20.7
15.816.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End2.2
Second
8899
#27
18.00.9
16.417.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.8
End2.1
red by 5.1
9212
#38
12.90.7
8.39.0
Auto1.8
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Third
9679
#15
17.60.6
17.217.8
Auto5.6
Teleop9.2
End2.7
red by 10.6
2604
#39
6.90.7
7.88.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned4%Barge oddsMissed