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Red65
1060629.1
609920.2
776215.9
Blue107
522515.4
481033.6
171844.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71962040608012014016018065107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+32
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +31
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#6
6Processor points6
4Net points24
10Algae points30
44Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
65Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.10.7
31.130.4
Auto5.8
Teleop14.3
End9.0
blue by 15.1
44.20.8
40.741.5
Auto7.4
Teleop28.2
End8.6
Second
6099
#34
20.20.7
20.820.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8
blue by 13.4
33.60.8
30.030.8
Auto6.5
Teleop25.9
End1.2
Third
7762
#32
15.90.7
14.513.8
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End2.1
red by 0.5
5225
#29
15.40.8
13.113.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned