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Red58
330219.7
612036.3
781312.0
Blue112
309828.8
21746.9
836413.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions639820408012014016058112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+62
Endgame+60
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +61
5Coral scored#12
17Coral points42
0Processor algae#4
1Net algae#4
0Processor points24
4Net points16
4Algae points40
21Total teleop82
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
6Foul points0
58Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6120
#17
36.30.9
32.531.6
Auto8.6
Teleop20.5
End7.1
blue by 10.7
217
#8
46.91.4
47.548.9
Auto8.5
Teleop33.9
End4.5
Second
3302
#14
19.70.9
18.417.5
Auto2.4
Teleop15.7
End1.5
blue by 9.2
3098
#11
28.81.4
26.427.8
Auto4.6
Teleop23.8
End0.5
Third
7813
#21
12.00.9
11.911.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.5
blue by 1.8
8364
#37
13.81.4
13.615.0
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned