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Red99
718833.1
481033.6
1066525.9
Blue91
921212.9
889918.0
505339.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9668204060801201401609991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +7
15Coral scored#12
55Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
79Total teleop72
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
99Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.8
30.831.6
Auto6.5
Teleop25.9
End1.2
blue by 6.3
5053
#26
39.91.4
38.239.5
Auto5.0
Teleop31.0
End3.9
Second
7188
#30
33.10.8
31.632.4
Auto4.8
Teleop28.1
End0.3
red by 15.1
8899
#27
18.02.0
17.419.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Third
25.90.8
21.922.7
Auto4.6
Teleop19.2
End2.1
red by 12.9
9212
#38
12.91.4
9.010.4
Auto1.8
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed