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Red52
776215.9
413028.4
1066815.2
Blue82
521418.3
522515.4
309828.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767340601001205282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+26
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +26
7Coral scored#13
24Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
38Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
52Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#18
28.41.3
31.330.0
Auto4.9
Teleop22.8
End0.7
blue by 0.5
3098
#11
28.80.6
27.828.3
Auto4.6
Teleop23.8
End0.5
Second
7762
#32
15.91.3
13.812.5
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End2.1
blue by 2.4
5214
#31
18.30.6
20.020.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End2.5
Third
15.21.3
16.515.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End2.2
blue by 0.2
5225
#29
15.40.6
13.914.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed