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Red146
81845.0
612036.3
955842.1
Blue45
506515.3
592623.0
811517.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13349010015020014645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+81Teleop
+101Endgame
+101Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave0
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points16
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +64
18Coral scored#6
63Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
6Processor points0
20Net points4
26Algae points4
89Total teleop25
Reef
8L4#3
8L3#3
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#10
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +101
0Foul points0
146Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#10
45.02.2
38.941.1
Auto6.3
Teleop37.5
End1.2
red by 22.0
5926
#23
23.00.7
18.317.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End4.4
Second
42.12.2
35.938.1
Auto9.6
Teleop25.3
End7.3
red by 24.9
8115
#36
17.20.7
17.116.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End3.5
Third
6120
#17
36.32.2
31.633.9
Auto8.6
Teleop20.5
End7.1
red by 20.9
5065
#33
15.30.7
14.613.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed