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Red168
81845.0
586023.7
477944.3
Blue116
921212.9
309828.8
171844.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11289406080100120140160180168116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+50Teleop
+50Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +47
28Coral scored#21
99Coral points74
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
24Processor points6
20Net points16
44Algae points22
143Total teleop96
Reef
14L4#10
9L3#5
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
2Foul points0
168Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#10
45.03.0
41.144.1
Auto6.3
Teleop37.5
End1.2
red by 0.8
44.20.8
41.141.9
Auto7.4
Teleop28.2
End8.6
Second
44.33.0
38.741.6
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End7.0
red by 15.5
3098
#11
28.80.8
28.329.2
Auto4.6
Teleop23.8
End0.5
Third
5860
#25
23.73.0
17.920.9
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 10.7
9212
#38
12.90.8
10.411.2
Auto1.8
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed