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Red142
118950.5
1066525.9
523927.5
Blue51
546712.3
889918.0
776215.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11140020608010012014016014251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+75Teleop
+97Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +58
17Coral scored#5
62Coral points18
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
90Total teleop32
Reef
9L4#3
4L3#2
6L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#10
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
0Foul points6
142Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.52.8
47.149.9
Auto9.9
Teleop32.0
End8.6
red by 32.4
8899
#27
18.00.5
19.418.9
Auto4.2
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Second
27.52.8
24.627.5
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End6.9
red by 11.6
7762
#32
15.90.4
13.713.3
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End2.1
Third
25.92.8
22.625.4
Auto4.6
Teleop19.2
End2.1
red by 13.5
5467
#35
12.30.4
11.811.4
Auto2.0
Teleop7.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed