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Red98
612036.3
481033.6
921212.9
Blue45
609920.2
45312.7
967917.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93520204060801201401609845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+27Teleop
+37Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points15
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +26
8Coral scored#5
28Coral points18
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
52Total teleop26
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
16Foul points0
98Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6120
#17
36.30.2
33.833.9
Auto8.6
Teleop20.5
End7.1
red by 16.1
6099
#34
20.20.4
20.119.7
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8
Second
33.60.2
32.933.0
Auto6.5
Teleop25.9
End1.2
red by 16.0
9679
#15
17.60.4
18.017.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.2
End2.7
Third
9212
#38
12.90.2
12.812.9
Auto1.8
Teleop9.9
End1.3
red by 0.2
453
#24
12.70.4
13.112.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed