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Red149
118950.5
1066525.9
477944.3
Blue89
523927.5
718833.1
811517.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140785010015020014989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+60Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points15
23Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +55
18Coral scored#15
64Coral points55
4Processor algae#1
8Net algae#1
24Processor points6
32Net points4
56Algae points10
120Total teleop65
Reef
10L4#8
6L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
149Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.5
50.951.4
Auto9.9
Teleop32.0
End8.6
red by 17.3
7188
#30
33.10.1
33.233.3
Auto4.8
Teleop28.1
End0.3
Second
44.30.5
44.845.2
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End7.0
red by 16.8
27.50.1
27.627.7
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End6.9
Third
25.90.5
26.326.8
Auto4.6
Teleop19.2
End2.1
red by 8.7
8115
#36
17.20.1
17.217.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End3.5