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Red79
592623.0
309828.8
1066815.2
Blue91
505339.9
609920.2
481033.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681110501001507991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
13Coral scored#12
45Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
59Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +12
2Foul points6
79Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3098
#11
28.80.2
28.628.8
Auto4.6
Teleop23.8
End0.5
blue by 11.1
5053
#26
39.90.2
40.740.5
Auto5.0
Teleop31.0
End3.9
Second
5926
#23
23.00.2
22.823.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End4.4
blue by 10.6
33.60.2
34.434.2
Auto6.5
Teleop25.9
End1.2
Third
15.20.2
14.915.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End2.2
blue by 5.0
6099
#34
20.20.2
21.020.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8