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Red58
571264.5
504618.1
999814.2
Blue127
283251.7
999118.1
214551.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11115605020025058127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+49
Endgame+69
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
2Coral scored#6
11Coral points30
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +39
5Coral scored#15
18Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
32Total teleop71
Reef
2L4#10
3L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points0
58Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.53.1
64.461.4
Auto10.5
Teleop44.7
End9.5
red by 12.8
51.70.3
55.355.0
Auto14.7
Teleop32.2
End4.8
Second
5046
#24
18.13.1
24.421.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End0.6
blue by 33.1
51.20.3
59.158.8
Auto17.1
Teleop27.2
End6.9
Third
9998
#23
14.25.1
15.210.1
Auto6.7
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 3.8
9991
#11
18.10.5
17.416.8
Auto1.0
Teleop13.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned