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Red53
60719.5
516647.4
560336.0
Blue44
317541.0
99955.7
552718.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130850501001502005344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+27Teleop
+19Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +17
5Coral scored#3
19Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
27Total teleop10
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
4Foul points14
53Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#17
47.44.2
59.955.7
Auto11.3
Teleop26.2
End10.0
red by 6.3
3175
#16
41.03.1
43.640.5
Auto8.4
Teleop26.8
End5.9
Second
5603
#13
36.04.2
39.735.5
Auto8.0
Teleop23.7
End4.4
red by 17.2
5527
#30
18.83.1
20.117.0
Auto2.7
Teleop13.2
End2.9
Third
6071
#15
9.54.2
12.98.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.6
End2.3
red by 3.8
9995
#31
5.75.2
12.77.5
Auto0.1
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned