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Red90
887335.5
519341.4
550937.1
Blue55
997016.7
504618.1
686126.6
97%Model gave it3%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1575201002002509055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+31Teleop
+33Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
8Coral points16
17Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +30
14Coral scored#7
49Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
0Processor points6
16Net points4
16Algae points10
65Total teleop35
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
2Foul points0
90Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.43.1
46.142.9
Auto8.5
Teleop28.7
End4.2
red by 14.8
6861
#18
26.60.8
29.328.5
Auto6.6
Teleop17.0
End3.0
Second
5509
#10
37.13.1
44.241.1
Auto8.1
Teleop22.7
End6.2
red by 19.0
5046
#24
18.10.8
21.320.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End0.6
Third
8873
#19
35.53.1
44.541.3
Auto4.9
Teleop25.0
End5.7
red by 18.8
9970
#12
16.71.4
16.715.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed