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Red94
999616.7
721140.2
99938.5
Blue189
924581.6
283251.7
542429.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58199010015025030094189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+97
Endgame+95
Fouls+95
AutonomousBlue +27
6Leave9
3Coral scored#8
17Coral points41
23Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +70
12Coral scored#18
43Coral points63
0Processor algae#5
3Net algae#8
0Processor points30
12Net points32
12Algae points62
55Total teleop125
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#5
2L2#8
1L1 · trough#6
18Game pieces#39
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +95
0Foul points0
94Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.21.3
37.939.2
Auto8.3
Teleop25.3
End6.7
blue by 41.4
81.61.2
81.382.5
Auto16.6
Teleop56.4
End8.6
Second
9996
#26
16.72.1
18.320.4
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End1.1
blue by 35.0
51.71.2
55.056.2
Auto14.7
Teleop32.2
End4.8
Third
9993
#29
8.52.1
13.715.8
Auto0.9
Teleop6.8
End0.6
blue by 20.6
5424
#25
29.21.2
28.629.8
Auto3.7
Teleop22.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned