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Red73
560336.0
214551.2
887335.5
Blue101
261936.4
519341.4
553828.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14410705020073101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +18
11Coral scored#14
40Coral points50
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
0Processor points12
8Net points4
8Algae points16
48Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
73Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.24.2
58.854.6
Auto17.1
Teleop27.2
End6.9
red by 9.8
41.40.5
42.942.4
Auto8.5
Teleop28.7
End4.2
Second
5603
#13
36.04.2
35.531.3
Auto8.0
Teleop23.7
End4.4
blue by 0.4
36.40.5
35.535.0
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End7.8
Third
8873
#19
35.54.2
41.337.2
Auto4.9
Teleop25.0
End5.7
red by 7.1
5538
#14
28.40.5
30.129.6
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned