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Red131
675321.4
521665.6
283251.7
Blue53
542429.2
686126.6
60719.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1806405010015020025013153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+78Teleop
+78Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +57
17Coral scored#7
61Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
6Processor points0
20Net points4
26Algae points4
87Total teleop30
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
0Foul points0
131Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.60.8
65.664.8
Auto16.9
Teleop47.8
End1.0
red by 36.4
5424
#25
29.20.9
29.828.9
Auto3.7
Teleop22.7
End2.8
Second
51.70.8
56.255.4
Auto14.7
Teleop32.2
End4.8
red by 25.1
6861
#18
26.60.9
28.527.6
Auto6.6
Teleop17.0
End3.0
Third
6753
#22
21.40.8
21.420.6
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End6.1
red by 11.9
6071
#15
9.50.9
8.77.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
56%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned