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Red60
552718.8
999616.7
504618.1
Blue111
721140.2
664217.8
317541.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54130010015020025060111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+31
Endgame+53
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +17
9Coral scored#12
31Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
45Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
2Foul points0
60Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5527
#30
18.80.0
17.017.0
Auto2.7
Teleop13.2
End2.9
blue by 22.3
3175
#16
41.00.7
40.541.2
Auto8.4
Teleop26.8
End5.9
Second
5046
#24
18.10.0
20.520.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End0.6
blue by 22.1
40.20.7
39.239.9
Auto8.3
Teleop25.3
End6.7
Third
9996
#26
16.70.0
20.420.4
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End1.1
blue by 1.1
6642
#20
17.80.7
20.821.5
Auto2.8
Teleop13.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned