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Red142
550937.1
924581.6
516647.4
Blue33
99938.5
828616.1
999118.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2133205010015025030035014233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+95Teleop
+109Endgame
+109Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
0Leave0
6Coral scored#1
29Coral points6
29Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +72
17Coral scored#6
61Coral points21
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#1
12Processor points0
24Net points4
36Algae points4
97Total teleop25
Reef
8L4#3
7L3#1
3L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#8
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +109
0Foul points0
142Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.63.0
82.579.5
Auto16.6
Teleop56.4
End8.6
red by 63.5
9991
#11
18.13.2
16.813.6
Auto1.0
Teleop13.5
End3.2
Second
5166
#17
47.43.0
55.752.7
Auto11.3
Teleop26.2
End10.0
red by 31.3
8286
#27
16.11.9
20.218.3
Auto2.7
Teleop12.3
End1.1
Third
5509
#10
37.13.0
41.138.1
Auto8.1
Teleop22.7
End6.2
red by 28.5
9993
#29
8.53.2
15.812.6
Auto0.9
Teleop6.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed