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Red54
504618.1
887335.5
828616.1
Blue151
60719.5
571264.5
353858.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7115105010020054151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+87
Endgame+97
Fouls+97
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +80
8Coral scored#25
28Coral points90
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
34Total teleop114
Reef
5L4#15
3L3#7
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +97
0Foul points0
54Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8873
#19
35.51.1
34.733.6
Auto4.9
Teleop25.0
End5.7
blue by 29.0
64.51.8
61.763.5
Auto10.5
Teleop44.7
End9.5
Second
5046
#24
18.11.1
19.318.1
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End0.6
blue by 40.1
58.21.8
54.055.8
Auto13.2
Teleop44.7
End0.3
Third
8286
#27
16.11.1
17.216.1
Auto2.7
Teleop12.3
End1.1
red by 6.5
6071
#15
9.51.8
7.79.5
Auto1.6
Teleop5.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned