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Red76
999118.1
598222.4
675321.4
Blue75
560336.0
999616.7
99955.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62592040801007675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +1
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
64Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
76Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5982
#28
22.40.9
21.822.6
Auto4.5
Teleop16.1
End1.8
blue by 13.6
5603
#13
36.01.1
33.434.5
Auto8.0
Teleop23.7
End4.4
Second
6753
#22
21.40.9
20.521.4
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End6.1
red by 4.7
9996
#26
16.71.8
16.318.1
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End1.1
Third
9991
#11
18.11.4
14.916.4
Auto1.0
Teleop13.5
End3.2
red by 12.3
9995
#31
5.71.8
3.95.7
Auto0.1
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed