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Red112
999118.1
887335.5
261936.4
Blue100
828616.1
552718.8
521665.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116135050100150200250112100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+10
+6Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +8
15Coral scored#15
53Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
71Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#22
BargeRed +16
26Cage & park10
26Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points0
112Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.3
41.140.8
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End7.8
blue by 29.1
65.61.2
69.968.7
Auto16.9
Teleop47.8
End1.0
Second
8873
#19
35.50.3
46.846.5
Auto4.9
Teleop25.0
End5.7
red by 16.7
5527
#30
18.81.2
21.119.9
Auto2.7
Teleop13.2
End2.9
Third
9991
#11
18.10.5
17.116.6
Auto1.0
Teleop13.5
End3.2
red by 2.0
8286
#27
16.11.2
20.719.6
Auto2.7
Teleop12.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed