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Red95
516647.4
542429.2
999616.7
Blue124
353858.2
553828.4
550937.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11515205010020025030095124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +13
13Coral scored#13
45Coral points48
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
12Processor points18
8Net points12
20Algae points30
65Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
95Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#17
47.41.1
65.464.3
Auto11.3
Teleop26.2
End10.0
blue by 10.8
58.20.9
55.954.9
Auto13.2
Teleop44.7
End0.3
Second
5424
#25
29.21.1
29.528.4
Auto3.7
Teleop22.7
End2.8
blue by 7.9
5509
#10
37.10.9
48.247.3
Auto8.1
Teleop22.7
End6.2
Third
9996
#26
16.71.9
17.115.2
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End1.1
blue by 11.6
5538
#14
28.40.9
33.832.9
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned