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Red103
997016.7
560336.0
317541.0
Blue143
377040.8
283251.7
571264.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90205050150250300103143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+28
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points27
16Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +17
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
63Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
103Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#16
41.00.1
46.646.7
Auto8.4
Teleop26.8
End5.9
blue by 23.5
64.52.2
66.264.0
Auto10.5
Teleop44.7
End9.5
Second
5603
#13
36.00.1
37.737.8
Auto8.0
Teleop23.7
End4.4
blue by 15.7
51.72.2
57.555.3
Auto14.7
Teleop32.2
End4.8
Third
9970
#12
16.70.2
17.117.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End4.0
blue by 24.1
3770
#21
40.82.2
52.149.9
Auto4.0
Teleop26.8
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned