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Red109
521665.6
542429.2
553828.4
Blue167
519341.4
317541.0
924581.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12917550100150200250109167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+48
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
26Coral points27
26Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +41
16Coral scored#23
59Coral points82
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
12Processor points18
8Net points20
20Algae points38
79Total teleop120
Reef
11L4#10
4L3#8
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
109Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.61.2
64.963.6
Auto16.9
Teleop47.8
End1.0
blue by 16.0
81.60.1
79.679.7
Auto16.6
Teleop56.4
End8.6
Second
5424
#25
29.21.2
28.026.8
Auto3.7
Teleop22.7
End2.8
blue by 12.2
41.40.1
42.142.2
Auto8.5
Teleop28.7
End4.2
Third
5538
#14
28.41.2
28.627.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End5.4
blue by 12.7
3175
#16
41.00.1
41.241.3
Auto8.4
Teleop26.8
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned