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Red120
552718.8
377040.8
214551.2
Blue57
550937.1
99938.5
283251.7
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119121608010014016012057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+43Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
12Coral scored#6
44Coral points21
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
64Total teleop35
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#2
6L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#11
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
120Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.9
50.351.1
Auto17.1
Teleop27.2
End6.9
blue by 0.5
51.73.3
54.150.8
Auto14.7
Teleop32.2
End4.8
Second
3770
#21
40.80.9
38.939.8
Auto4.0
Teleop26.8
End10.1
red by 3.7
5509
#10
37.13.3
38.935.5
Auto8.1
Teleop22.7
End6.2
Third
5527
#30
18.80.9
17.918.8
Auto2.7
Teleop13.2
End2.9
red by 10.2
9993
#29
8.55.6
14.18.5
Auto0.9
Teleop6.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed