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Red198
521665.6
924581.6
887335.5
Blue131
553828.4
999118.1
377040.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20681050100150250300198131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+77Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave9
7Coral scored#1
36Coral points7
36Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +57
24Coral scored#14
86Coral points51
4Processor algae#3
9Net algae#5
24Processor points18
36Net points20
60Algae points38
146Total teleop89
Reef
11L4#6
10L3#3
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
198Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.60.4
79.780.1
Auto16.6
Teleop56.4
End8.6
red by 40.8
3770
#21
40.81.0
39.840.8
Auto4.0
Teleop26.8
End10.1
Second
65.60.4
63.664.1
Auto16.9
Teleop47.8
End1.0
red by 37.2
5538
#14
28.41.0
27.328.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End5.4
Third
8873
#19
35.50.4
33.634.0
Auto4.9
Teleop25.0
End5.7
red by 17.4
9991
#11
18.11.6
16.418.0
Auto1.0
Teleop13.5
End3.2