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Red107
214551.2
828616.1
999814.2
Blue76
542429.2
552718.8
675321.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1018305015020010776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+29Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
17Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +18
18Coral scored#11
64Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
74Total teleop56
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
107Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.21.1
58.059.1
Auto17.1
Teleop27.2
End6.9
red by 22.1
5424
#25
29.20.2
28.428.6
Auto3.7
Teleop22.7
End2.8
Second
8286
#27
16.11.1
19.620.6
Auto2.7
Teleop12.3
End1.1
blue by 5.4
6753
#22
21.40.2
24.324.6
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End6.1
Third
9998
#23
14.21.8
13.515.2
Auto6.7
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 4.5
5527
#30
18.80.2
19.920.1
Auto2.7
Teleop13.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned