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Red141
553828.4
999118.1
571264.5
Blue113
721140.2
353858.2
997016.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13411350100150200141113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+14Teleop
+16Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +21
16Coral scored#12
58Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
12Processor points6
20Net points20
32Algae points26
90Total teleop69
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
12Foul points0
141Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.50.4
64.064.4
Auto10.5
Teleop44.7
End9.5
red by 6.3
58.20.4
54.954.6
Auto13.2
Teleop44.7
End0.3
Second
5538
#14
28.40.4
32.933.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End5.4
blue by 11.8
40.20.4
38.337.9
Auto8.3
Teleop25.3
End6.7
Third
9991
#11
18.10.7
16.617.4
Auto1.0
Teleop13.5
End3.2
red by 1.4
9970
#12
16.70.6
17.316.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned