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Red90
377040.8
261936.4
516647.4
Blue98
999616.7
60719.5
519341.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1775901001502002509098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+28
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +24
8Coral scored#11
27Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
45Total teleop69
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#18
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
90Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#17
47.44.3
64.359.9
Auto11.3
Teleop26.2
End10.0
red by 6.0
41.41.8
44.246.1
Auto8.5
Teleop28.7
End4.2
Second
3770
#21
40.84.3
49.945.6
Auto4.0
Teleop26.8
End10.1
red by 24.1
9996
#26
16.73.1
15.218.3
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End1.1
Third
36.44.3
40.836.5
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End7.8
red by 26.9
6071
#15
9.51.8
11.112.9
Auto1.6
Teleop5.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned