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Red124
516647.4
999616.7
519341.4
Blue83
675321.4
664217.8
214551.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1199605015020025012483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
2Coral scored#5
11Coral points27
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +51
19Coral scored#8
70Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
90Total teleop39
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#3
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
124Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#17
47.40.4
47.147.5
Auto11.3
Teleop26.2
End10.0
blue by 3.8
51.20.2
51.451.2
Auto17.1
Teleop27.2
End6.9
Second
41.40.4
41.141.5
Auto8.5
Teleop28.7
End4.2
red by 19.9
6753
#22
21.40.2
21.621.4
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End6.1
Third
9996
#26
16.70.7
16.217.0
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End1.1
blue by 1.1
6642
#20
17.80.2
18.017.8
Auto2.8
Teleop13.1
End2.0