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Red192
521665.6
924581.6
887335.5
Blue161
353858.2
542429.2
261936.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20011550100150250300192161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+33Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
3Leave9
9Coral scored#4
43Coral points21
46Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +17
22Coral scored#20
80Coral points71
4Processor algae#4
10Net algae#8
24Processor points24
40Net points32
64Algae points56
144Total teleop127
Reef
11L4#10
7L3#6
9L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
192Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.60.2
80.180.3
Auto16.6
Teleop56.4
End8.6
red by 23.4
58.20.9
56.056.9
Auto13.2
Teleop44.7
End0.3
Second
65.60.2
64.164.3
Auto16.9
Teleop47.8
End1.0
red by 29.1
36.40.9
34.235.1
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End7.8
Third
8873
#19
35.50.2
34.034.2
Auto4.9
Teleop25.0
End5.7
red by 6.3
5424
#25
29.20.9
26.927.9
Auto3.7
Teleop22.7
End2.8