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Red143
353858.2
542429.2
261936.4
Blue100
516647.4
999616.7
519341.4
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127113406080100120140160180143100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+41Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points8
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +49
24Coral scored#15
86Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
118Total teleop69
Reef
9L4#5
8L3#5
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
143Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.20.5
56.957.4
Auto13.2
Teleop44.7
End0.3
red by 10.8
5166
#17
47.40.1
47.547.4
Auto11.3
Teleop26.2
End10.0
Second
36.40.5
35.135.6
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End7.8
blue by 5.0
41.40.1
41.541.4
Auto8.5
Teleop28.7
End4.2
Third
5424
#25
29.20.5
27.928.4
Auto3.7
Teleop22.7
End2.8
red by 12.4
9996
#26
16.70.2
17.016.7
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End1.1