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Red177
553824.9
516651.4
317558.3
Blue132
377048.5
968519.5
521664.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139140120160180177132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
8Coral scored#7
40Coral points34
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +32
24Coral scored#13
87Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
105Total teleop73
Reef
12L4#5
10L3#7
4L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +45
18Foul points6
177Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.30.6
57.858.3
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.8
blue by 6.6
64.90.2
65.164.9
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End1.6
Second
51.40.6
50.951.4
Auto9.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
red by 3.0
48.50.2
48.748.5
Auto5.6
Teleop32.6
End10.3
Third
5538
#27
24.90.6
24.324.9
Auto5.1
Teleop14.3
End5.5
red by 5.4
9685
#17
19.50.2
19.719.5
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End6.5